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AFC NorthBaltimore RavensNFL

Bu-bye Earl Thomas! Who Starts Now?

by Jermaine Lockett
written by Jermaine Lockett
Thomas - Getty

Thomas – Getty

Bu-bye Earl Thomas! Who Starts Now?

So, who’s job is it? Earl is gone due to conduct detrimental to the team. Yes, there are landing destinations to talk about for Earl. There is the issue of 10 Million dollars to discuss. However, the question that lingers for me is, who takes the Baltimore Ravens’ starting Safety job? Who lines up next to the cerebral Chuck Clark? Everyone is going to have their opinions. Here is one from Jeff Zrebiec of The Athletic:

Let’s take a look at the options.

Jimmy Smith

Ryan Mink of BR.Com made it clear he does not see #22 playing safety full time. I agree with that statement because of his ability to provide such depth to the CBs outside. Jimmy locked down some of the bigger playmakers on the outside last season. There no reason to believe the Ravens will completely set aside his abilities to give bigger playmakers headaches. With the former 1st round pick not starting a playing a full season since 2015, I believe spelling him at both CB and Safety will benefit the team as well as him.

 

Geno Stone

 

Here’s a guy I was excited about since the draft. Mike Rimmers of PFF reports

[blockquote align=”none” author=”Mike Rimmers – PFF”]“The way he trusts his reads is unlike any safety prospect in recent memory”.[/blockquote]

I believe the way the young rookie has impressed the last couple of days at camp, he has a shot at competing for more time at the position. According to BR.com he captured an interception late in Friday’s Sure, his 40-time was 4.62, but what he lacks in top speed he makes up for in vision and decision making.

He nabbed his first pick in practice on 3-on-3 drills against Jaleel Scott to stop a TD. There’s nothing but great things to come with this rising star. However, until he can absorb more of the playbook, I see him splitting reps with this next guy.

 

DeShon Elliott

There’s been so much hype about this guy last 2-years only to be disappointed with injuries to the forearm (2018) and knee (2019). The Ravens must view him as a starter if they are willing to send ET to the wind. Take a look at a few of his highlights. You’ll see he is always around the ball.

If the “Joker” can stay healthy, I believe with his size, soft hands, and ability to track the ball, the team can have full confidence in the former Longhorn’s ability to start.

 

Jermaine Lockett is a Writer and CEO for Couch Rider Report. Follow us on Instagram, Facebook or Twitter

 

 

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Top Tier RBs Getty
AFC EastAFC NorthAFC SouthAFC WestArizona CardinalsCarolina PanthersCleveland BrownsDallas CowboysFantasy FootballLas Vegas RaidersMiami DolphinsNew York GiantsNFC EastNFC SouthNFC WestNFLSeattle SeahawksTennessee Titans

Fantasy Football: Top Tier RBs and Guys to Snatch Up

by Jermaine Lockett
written by Jermaine Lockett

Fantasy Football: Top Tier RBs and Guys to Snatch Up

In my last post, I spoke on TEs who have the most fantasy value and where to snatch them up. You can find that article here. Today I want to dive right into the early drafted position. RBs are any fantasy footballer’s best friend. I have peers who draft nothing but RBs in the first eight rounds. Yes, I said that correctly! I, on the other hand, have a different strategy that actually works. I won’t speak on that today due to my nosey friends who may be reading, but I’ll drop some knowledge about what I do know about drafting RBs. Here we go!

Touches Touches Touches!

I’ve seen those backs who excite with their one or two flashy runs that get everyone psyched about the new season and how much they are going to eat into the lead backs load. However, if the coaches weren’t convinced by week 16, then this is about as risky as putting your chips on the table for a rookie RB. The risk and reward may vary. When I look for a top back, I am looking for a couple of things.

Touches are very important to me. In PPR leagues, it is essential. I could have a back breakout for 30 on one run, and that is great and all, but if the lead back is busting out 3 runs for 30 total, I’m going with production and who coach decides is the guy.

Sure, Mr. 1-for-30 will get a few more touches, but the number one back usually carries the load unless a fumble or injury happens. An example of this was Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny. Many thought that Penny was the guy at the beginning of the season. I saw through the smoke. I believed Carson was going to get the load because that is what he did at the end of 2018. In camp, according to various reports, he was outshining Penny as well. All the average fan could see was that the Seahawks drafted a monster. I was able to steal Carson around the 4th or 5th round and had a week one starter.

If you look at the stats, Penny averages about 5.6 yards per touch while Carson is closer to 4.2. Looking at that stat alone, who would you pick? Penny right? Let’s take a deeper look, overall for 2019, Carson had 278 carries to Penny’s 65. Carson lost some of his workload late, due to fumbling issues but was put back in due to Penny’s injury. My point is touches are king.

Can they stay on the field? 

I feel bad for my opponents when they draft a RB like Melvin Gordon, Leonard Fornette or Dalvin Cook. It just spells recipe for disaster. There is a new CBA that may affect my strategy, but avoiding players in contract years, or the year they sign their contract is a must for me. Production usually drops, injury happens or they hold out. I can’t give percentages, but this is just a practice of mine. I’ll get off my soapbox now and give you what you came for. Here are my TOP 5 RBs to draft and a few sleepers to snatch up.

  1. Christian McCaffrey – 2300+ yards in one season will definitely draw the focus of fantasy lovers anywhere. Average Draft Position or ADP = 1
  2. Saquon Barkley – You’re probably wondering why Zeke isn’t here. With all of the weapons Dallas has, there may be a slight surrendering of the NFC East Rushing champ title. You can’t feed everyone.
  3. Ezekiel Elliot – With 1777 total yards last season, there is a reason I said slight.
  4. Derrick Henry – I’d put the NFL Rushing champ higher on the list, but he’s not on the field on third down, keeping his receptions down.
  5. Nick Chubb – I believe that Cleveland Browns are aware of what they have in this bruiser. According to Rotoworld, he forced 66 missed tackles last season. Look for the league’s 2nd overall rusher to bang his way into another stellar season even if it is in Cleveland.

Now that we know who my top 5 are let’s not take the phone, laptop, mobile device, quill, or whatever you drafted with and throw it in the trash. There is still money out there after 5.

Josh Jacobs 

The Raiders may have moved, but their strategy is still the same. “pound the table if you’re with me.” This team will continue to pound the rock until they draft another signal-caller next season. We know Derek Carr is on borrowed time, and the only way to save his career is to snap and hand that ball off to set up the play-action to Darren Waller.

Kenyan Drake 

We all saw this man catch fire in Arizona after being traded for a sixth-round pick in October of 2019. Much like the Browns, the Cardinals are aware of the monster they have in the backfield. Drake had 170 carries in 2019, and I project him to have about 240 in 2020. People get your PPR popcorn ready!

Matt Breida 

San Francisco had a stable of backs deep than the ocean is blue. With Matt taking his talents to South Beach via trade, he’ll have plenty of opportunities to shine. I definitely will target this guy in about the 5th or 6th round not just because he won me $800 in draft kings last season, but because the guy averaged 5.1 YPC when given an opportunity. As a starter in Miami, he’ll bring the touches up with that YPC. No, I’M NOT even considering Jordan Howard for anything!

I know plenty of sleepers I could go over, but I have more positions to speak on before the season starts. I encourage you all to do your homework, and I’ll pop back in with the next piece on WRs.

 

Jermaine Lockett is a Writer and CEO for Couch Rider Report. Follow us on Instagram, Facebook or Twitter

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TE Henry Getty
AFC NorthAFC WestAtlanta FalconsBaltimore RavensChicago BearsFantasy FootballKansas City ChiefsNFC NorthNFC SouthNFL

Fantasy Football: Top Tier TEs and Guys to Snatch Up

by Jermaine Lockett
written by Jermaine Lockett

Fantasy Football: Top Tier TEs and Guys to Snatch Up

Greetings CRR faithful! I was asked by a fellow comrade to focus on helping people gain an advantage in their fantasy football leagues. It’s no secret if you’re reading our posts that I love to focus on skill player positions. This knowledge helps me when it comes to winning the leagues that I get in. Today, I would like to start with TEs and hopefully give you some information that you did not have that may help you should there be an NFL season. Let the fun begin.

Snubbed? (Yes, I’m a “Homer”)

Of course, we know there are two players considered at the top of the list when it comes to TEs. Travis Kelce and George Kittle are household names in the fantasy game, and there is plenty of evidence to show why. However, neither of these fantasy beasts topped the league in TDs for TEs last season. In fact, neither of these swaggerific guys hit double digits in single-season total TDs. Only one TD did. This TE is disrespected in magazines and NFL Top 100 lists. Mark Andrews scored 10 TDs in 2019 and should be considered as a top tier TE coming into the 2020 season. These were obvious shots, and information should already know. If not, get your life together and google some stuff.

When it comes to the next tier of star performers at the position, should the three aforementioned be off the board, looking to Las Vegas and Philly for a solution may be the answer. The number two and three in targets last season were Zach Ertz and Darren Waller. In PPR leagues, anyone who has a TE averaging 8-targets per game is worth keeping around. Ok, let’s recap so far. If I am trying to grab a TE for my fantasy squad, this is the order for me.

  1. Travis Kelce (1st or 2nd round)

  2. Mark Andrews (as long as you’re not drafting against Ravens fans, 5th round)

  3. Rob Gronkowski (I’m not really a fan TBH due to injury history but eh upside is there. 3rd round)

  4. George Kittle (2nd round maybe 3rd)

  5. Darren Waller (6th or 7th round)

  6. Zach Ertz (6th or 7th round)

Now that we have pointed out the grown men, let’s take a look at this year’s sleeper that could very well come out of nowhere.

Cole Kmet

You’re probably ready to click off of the article but hear me out. Jimmy Graham is not even a shadow of what he used to be back in 2012. With the QB competition that is supposed to happen prior to the season start between Nick Foles and Mitch Trubisky, there will be a heavy reliance on the TE position because Allen Robinson is all “Da Bears” have in the hands department at the WR spot. Look for Kmet to bring in about 5-targets per game. Look for him to bring in a little under 9 points per game. These are notable numbers considering the best TEs brought in 8-10 points per game last season. Here’s my justification. Middling QBs still trying to build chemistry will rely heavily on their largest targets, the TEs.

Hayden Hurst

Living in the shadow of the TE TD leader of 2020 has to be frustrating, especially as the number one selection of a team in the 2018 NFL Draft. However, now as the clear-cut number 1 TE in ATL, the NFC South needs to be put on notice that Rob Gronkowski is not the only monster on the loose down there. Don’t let the 30 catches for 349-yards and 2-TDs fool you. Hurst has homerun ability after the catch and a mean streak about a mile long. You could see the competitor in him last season even when he wasn’t catching the ball. Matt Ryan must have seen something because he said this in a recent interview according to Rotoworld:

“Ryan described Hurst as one of the “fastest and most athletic tight ends I’ve ever played with.” 

You can catch this late-round steal in round 9 or 10 in most 12-man leagues. Don’t pass this one up.

Blake Jarwin

Should Dem Boyz get a deal for Dak Prescott, he’ll have plenty of targets. The less obvious one that could blow up in 2020 is Jarwin. Previously it was common knowledge that outside of the ground game that Dak would use Witten to move the ball downfield. With Witten gone now, Blake will get 70+targets this season, hauling in about 6.5 PPG. That may not look like much, but you’ll need every point you can get. Look to snag him around rounds 13-15. 

I could go on and on about a few guys that you may want to look out for like Jared Cook and Jonnu Smith, but I need to move on to another position group. Hit me on up twitter or FB, and we can chat it up a bit. 

Jermaine Lockett is a Writer and CEO for Couch Rider Report. Follow us on Instagram, Facebook or Twitter

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AFC NorthBaltimore RavensNFL

What can the Ravens Afford Post a Lamar Deal?

by Jermaine Lockett
written by Jermaine Lockett

What can the Ravens Afford Post a Lamar Deal?

Pat Mahomes and Lamar Jackson talk were all anyone could blab about when the “half billi” deal went down last week. We know that Lamar is going to get a similar deal annually, but maybe not longevity-wise. Today, let’s not focus on Lamar. I would like to see what that type of deal is going to do to a couple of other guys on the roster.

Guys like Ronnie Stanley, Marlon Humphrey, and Mark Andrews are essential to this team, but will there be casualties in securing the league’s most electrifying player? Can the Ravens afford to let a few of these stars walk to secure Lamar’s bag?

I said what I said!

I’ll put a number out there that the Baltimore Ravens‘ own website put out there. $170M over 4-years puts him at about $42.5M per year. That is just $2.5M under the current Super Bowl MVP. Let’s say the projection is right (even though I believe Lamar will surpass Pat’s deal). Will there still be enough money to sign some of the biggest stars on the team? Let’s take a look.

Securing the blindside

The market for LTs like Ronnie Stanley is about $17.2M annually, according to spotrac.com. I am guessing that based on the ever-rising market per position, and having a prestigious company like Roc Nation representing him, Ronnie is going to raise the market with his contract at about $23M annually. That is one million more than Laremy Tunsil is currently earning. If my Louisiana math is correct, in a year, just two Ravens are projected to take up 32.8% of the cap. Let’s move on to our beloved “Fruit Punch”.

Fruit Punch

Marlon Humphrey has been disrespected in the media by several uniformed analysts. However, with the help of PFF, legit film watchers, his agent can see clearly why his guy is going to command top-5 CB salary. Marlon may be under contract until 2021, but Eric DeCosta likes resigning guys prior to their final year. $18M annually is the number EDC could try and start at for the Ravens’ number one CB.

However, Segal may argue that Humphrey’s ability to play both inside and outside makes him a versatile player, commanding more of a salary. The Ravens could let Humphrey walk and move on with Peters as the top guy, but I don’t see that in the plans at all. Look for Humphrey to gain about $19M per year, which would put him just under Stephon Gilmore, who has everyone drooling over his ability to lock down his side of the field. Adding the numbers together again, let’s look:

Lamar – 42.5M
Ronnie – 23M
Marlon – 19M

Can I hold something? Yeesh, those three guys are projected to make a combined $84.5M per year! They would take up a whopping 65.6% of the salary cap. Hopefully, the cap rises before 2021 because there is a lot of money to hand out and very little room to operate under. Either way, Steve Bisciotti is about to have to start bringing sack lunches to work.

Jermaine Lockett is a Writer and CEO for Couch Rider Report. Follow us on Instagram, Facebook or Twitter

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Uncategorized

What Receiver Will Take Over the AFC in 2020?

by Jermaine Lockett
written by Jermaine Lockett

It hurts me to write on Tennessee Titans after the tragic beatdown they placed on my Baltimore Ravens in the divisional round of the 2020 playoffs. However, the fact that they are a force to be reckoned with is obvious. My focus turns to how people are caught up on loudmouth receivers that are not in the league or anywhere else. What teams need to focus on is A.J. Brown. With DeAndre Hopkins now in the NFC, he could stand to be one of the most dangerous all-around WRs in the conference.

I am not saying people are sleeping on A.J., but let’s take a look at what the rest of the conference has to offer receiver-wise.

AFC East

New England Patriots

Who is their number one again? 32-year-old Julian Edelman? Based on Cam Newton being “humbled” as the new guy in Foxboro, I have left a surprise at the bottom of this article about who may be the number 1 guy in New England.  

New York Jets

I see lots of speed but no true number one. They drafted Denzel Mims, but Jamison Crowder looks like the true “1” until unseated. Yes, I know Breshad Perriman is there, but I would need to see more before putting him as a number one receiver.

Miami Dolphins

DeVante Parker: Here is a legit talent with a new QB. I am curious to see what he and Tua Tagovailoa can accomplish together. 1200+ yards with Ryan Fitzpatrick was great to see in 2019. Will Preston Williams and Allen Hurns eat into his workload?

Buffalo Bills

Stephon Diggs: Riddle me this: can he grind without Thielen on the other side? Josh Allen showed promise in 2019, but I believe there will be growing pains between the two before Steve Urkel turns back into Stephon (I really hope yall caught that.)

AFC North

Baltimore Ravens

Hollywood Brown put in work last and this current offseason, but I believe this offense still “TRUZZ” in and runs through their TEs. I would love to see him put on a clinic in 2020, though. Miles Boykin won’t be the number one but don’t sleep on him either.

Pittsburgh Steelers

With Ben Roethlisberger back, will JuJu Smith-Schuster return to form? Is Dionte Johnson the next great homegrown WR coming out of Pitt? Too many questions to crown either of these guys.

Cincinnati Bengals

A.J. Green is returning from injury, but what can the team expect of him with a new signal-caller? Tyler Boyd reached the 1K-yd mark for the second straight year season, but with Tee Higgins in the fold now, will his workload decrease? I guess that boils down to who has better chemistry with Burrow. Boyd will still get his work out of the slot, but how much?

Cleveland Browns

Two monster receivers here, and that is why I said Brown would be one of the most dangerous in the AFC. However, with Baker Mayfield losing more daddies every year than a kid with a promiscuous Mom. Will we ever see his rookie year form again? Odell Beckham Jr. Still managed over 1,000 yards this past season, as did Jarvis Landry. But hip surgery is a tricky thing and could make life a bit more difficult for circus-show Beckham.

AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs

There are burners all through this squad, but Tyreek Hill is the clear cut number one WR in this camp. The question remains, can Tyreek stay healthy? He missed a couple of games and didn’t reach the 1K-yard mark this past season, but he did show up when it counted. When you look at Tyreek, outside of fly routes, posts, screens, and flat routes, can he run the full route tree? To argue myself, does he have to with that supporting cast?

Las Vegas Raiders

Henry Ruggs will be a dangerous rookie, and Tyrell Williams is a solid WR, but Derek Carr is about consistent as Philip Rivers in the 4th Quarter. Ya, I said it. Plus, we saw Darren Waller break out this past season at TE after drug and injury issues. Will Vegas carry the torch on feeding the offense through is TE?

Los Angeles Chargers

Keenan Allen could be considered a Top 5 in the conference. However, with his injury history, Tyrod Taylor, and possibly a rookie QB in Justin Hebert to gel with during the season, can he produce the same as he did with Philip Rivers? I see some dropoff from his 1199-yards from 2019.

Denver Broncos

Drew Lock is throwing the ball. I’m sorry, but I am not a fan of any John Elway grown QBs. Courtland Sutton has the talent to emerge an AFC Bully, especially with such a talented rookie counterpart at his side in Jerry Jeudy. But can Lock get them the ball? I get that the guy did well against teams like the Raiders and the Lions. Check the tape on Lock against the Chiefs. I believe that gives you a fair look at what to expect in 2020 out of a guy who has only played five games. Anyway, this is about receivers. Should he and Jeudy find chemistry, I think Jeudy could be rookie of the year.

AFC South

Houston Texans

Brandon Cooks and Will Fuller are both premiere burners, but can they run the full route tree? Can Fuller stay healthy? Can Cooks stay out of concussion protocol?

According to ESPN, Texans’ Coach Bill O’Brien had this to say on the matter.

“Yes, he’s had concussions, but he’s only missed two games since 2015,” O’Brien said, understating the issue, especially since one of Cooks’ five documented concussions occurred in the Super Bowl. “All that was taken into account when we worked with Sean McVay on the trade.”

Jacksonville Jaguars

I fully expect Gardner “Uncle Rico” Minchew to fully rely on DJ Chark as his number one guy in 2020, but will it be on a top-5 WR level? That depends on the signal-caller gaining more chemistry with him. Rookie Laviska Shenault Jr. has to eat as well over there.

Indianapolis Colts

Philip Rivers has a new cast of wideouts to throw to, and it’s very unclear who will be that guy for him. It would be easy to say T.Y. Hilton but look at the past with Philip. He likes his tall outside guys. Besides T.Y. is 30 now. Father time is undefeated. Look for Michael Pittman Jr. to emerge as the number one over there.

Tennessee Titans

It is clear who is the number one WR here. Corey Davis has articles coming out about how the Titans still like him. However, they also declined his 5th-year option. Kalif Raymond is a one-trick-pony, and Adam Humphries has talent but is just not a “one”. A.J. Brown was my favorite receiver to come out of the 2019 NFL Draft because of his ability to do so much after the catch and the use of his body to box out DBs for the rock. He showed this in his rookie campaign, and I believe he will take the AFC by storm, come his sophomore campaign.  

One last treat

My list may differ from yours, but here are my 2020 regular season Top-10 AFC WRs. Let’s talk about it. Keep in mind this is a projection of what I believe is to come, not what currently is. Hold your cabbages.

  1. A.J. Brown
  2. Hollywood Brown
  3. Tyreek Hill
  4. Dionte Johnson
  5. Jarvis Landry
  6. Stephon Diggs
  7. Jerry Jeudy
  8. Keenan Allen
  9. DeVante Parker
  10. Damiere Byrd (Think about who is throwing the ball to him. Think Ted Ginn 2015) 

Sleeper: D.J. Chark

Jermaine Lockett is a Writer and CEO for Couch Rider Report. Follow us on Instagram, Facebook or Twitter

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J'Mar Smith Getty
AFC EastNew England PatriotsNFL

Is J’Mar Smith the Future for the Patriots?

by Jermaine Lockett
written by Jermaine Lockett

Is J’Mar Smith the Future for the Patriots?

Have the New England Patriots found their guy? They went to the flea-market, signing undrafted free agents after not drafting a QB. Have they found something special in J’Mar Smith?

Here is what Ty Anderson of 985thesportshub.com had to say on the matter,

“A starter since he was a redshirted sophomore in 2017, Smith concluded his collegiate career with the Bulldogs a 2019 campaign that featured 2,977 passing yards as well as a career-best 18 touchdowns and 270.6 passing yards per game. Smith also posted a 64 percent completion percentage, which was a seven percentage point increase from his 2018 campaign, and was his best mark in his three seasons as Louisiana Tech’s starter. Smith also rushed for at least 100 times for the second time in his NCAA career in 2019, and contributed 264 yards and four touchdowns on the ground.”

The guy has some accolades to note. He has more passing yards than Terry Bradshaw did at this time at LA Tech. The Meridian, Mississippi Native had 4-300-yd games in 2019. There were some things that leaped off of the screen for me with the former Bulldog, and there were some things that I could see that need work. In order to get a realistic view of Smith, I went to two of his biggest games to watch the tape. LA Tech vs. Texas and the big win for LA Tech against Miami in the Independence Bowl.

 

Pros

  • Plenty of arm strength
  • Can fit the ball in tight windows at times
  • Toughness on QB dives
  • Can throw on the run
  • Makes big plays outside the pocket
  • Shifty in the pocket
  • When he has time to throw, he is fairly accurate
  • Check-downs and short passes are where he thrives (fits perfectly in Belichick scheme)
  • Favors whip, comeback, snap, flat, wheel and out routes
  • Money on fades in the RedZone

 

Cons

  • Underthrows receivers on short passes
  • Presnap reads need improvement
  • RPO reads are off
    • There were times where he could have broke it big if he just pulled it and ran vs. giving it to the back
  • Does not go through progressions
  • Favors his first read usually on the side he opens his hips to first
  • Stares downs receivers
  • Relies on WRs YAC to move the ball downfield
  • Slant throws under pressure accuracy issues
  • Deep ball accuracy issues
  • Tends to hold the ball too long

Again, this was only a review of a few highlight reels and two of the biggest competition games from his senior year.

Signing Smith does not mean he is the future for the team, but he will get the opportunity to compete with Jarett Stidham and Brian Hoyer for a spot. NE is the best situation, in order to compete for a starting job at QB with the current void Tom Brady left in his departure to Tampa Bay. However, is there another reason Bill brought in the mobile signal-caller?

I am noticing a trend all over the league. Miami drafted Malcolm Perry, who is an RPO monster and rushed for over 300-yards in one game. Then there are the Los Angeles Chargers who have Tyrod Taylor as their…not sure yet with the drafting of Justin Herbert. Take a look at the Las Vegas Raiders, who picked up Marcus Mariota. The Carolina Panthers picked up XFL Star P.J. Walker, who set the now-folded league on fire. Do you see a trend here?

The mobile QB has become a norm lately, and there just happens to be an NFL MVP who thrived with the use of the read-option, RPO, and pistol formation last season. Are Bill and other coaches using guys like Smith on their scout teams just to prepare for the Lamar Jacksons and Kyler Murrays of the league or do they plan to roll out their own version of this dangerous scheme? Only time will tell. Either way. Good luck to the 23-year-old J’Mar Smith.

Jermaine Lockett is a Writer and CEO for Couch Rider Report. Follow us on Instagram, Facebook or Twitter

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